The dark fiber market is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 12.1%, reaching USD 14.7 billion in 2031 from USD 8.3 billion in 2026.
With the increasing penetration of Internet services, the adoption of optical technology devices, the growing bandwidth requirements for mobile devices, and the need for cable operators to convert to high-definition (HD) video quality, the market is expected to witness a rise in product demand and consumption.
Furthermore, digital transformation in key end-use industries such as healthcare, telecommunications, the military, oil and gas, aerospace, and railways is driving the exploration of intelligent machine networking, which generates substantial amounts of data. This trend is expected to support market revenue growth throughout the forecast period.
Over the years, the application of online services has seen a proportional escalation in the demand for internet bandwidth. Technological innovations and the growing need for heavy data usage in manufacturing and distribution activities further enhance this demand.
It is also noteworthy that dark fiber offers significant advantages, such as easy expandability, enabling companies to establish their private networks without the costly construction of new fiber optic infrastructure.
The expanding dark fiber market is attributed to various factors, such as the onset of new technologies, including the Internet of Things (IoT), 5G, edge computing, artificial intelligence (AI), augmented reality (AR), virtual reality (VR), and super ultra-high-definition video.
Increased internet penetration is anticipated to boost market growth
The revenue growth of the global market has been positively influenced by the rising social consciousness toward the installation and utilization of fifth-generation (5G) networks, increasing internet bandwidth consumption, and the rapid industrial development of telecommunications providers. In developed countries, dark fiber is often reserved for future expansion and exhibits lower latency in networks, which enhances security and reliability.
Furthermore, the increasing number of cloud applications, gaming services, audio-video streaming, and video-on-demand services is driving the wider adoption of dark fiber. It is typically configured in point-to-point or point-to-multipoint arrangements.
Dense Wavelength Division Multiplexing (DWDM) is also a key feature that contributes to the progress and enhancement of dark fiber technology.
High need for long-haul dark fiber
The demand for long-haul dark fiber is high due to its high data capacity, safety, and resilience. It is extensively used in several industries, such as internet service providers (ISPs), the telecommunications industry, the military and aerospace sector, and internet-based services. The penetration of long-haul dark fiber into various segments is increasing due to economic factors, the ability to easily connect large geographical regions with little dependence on extra hardware provisions, and lower average repeater inclusion levels to maintain data strength. In addition, strong competitive dynamics, the creation of smart cities, and consistently rising investments are anticipated to fuel the segment's revenue growth.
Increasing integration of optical fiber will propel market expansion
Businesses that are expanding quickly need more bandwidth and high-speed internet connections. Customers and companies are switching from conventional copper or standard internet cables to optical fiber ones. Larger companies in the sector are improving their business communications by combining installed Voice over IP (VoIP) telephony with optical fiber devices and components.
Additionally, faster Internet speeds and an enhanced working environment are produced when businesses integrate dark fiber networks with Internet services. Optic fiber internet cables are more resilient to severe weather than regular copper internet cables. Dark optical fibers also prevent unplanned internet outages, which could otherwise cost customers money and time.
High cost and lack of monitoring are anticipated to impede market growth
Considerable obstacles stand in the way of small businesses and startups implementing dark fiber for scalability and reduced latency applications. These factors include the expensive nature of manpower and cables, the excessive risk of selecting the volume and type of fiber, and the poor workmanship involved in the installation process. There could be numerous loose ends in a dark fiber installation project, such as issues with documentation or the requirement to keep additional fibers.
Additionally, the market's potential revenue growth during the forecast period may be constrained by a lack of skilled professionals for the design of active network elements, the necessity for frequent advancements and upgrades, and consumer ignorance in some developing nations. Moreover, the challenge is inefficiently incorporating a fiber segment into the main platform, which is anticipated to manage large amounts of confidential data. Supervising computer scientists faces difficulties because of this process's intricate technical and operational details. An integration-friendly platform could be used to avoid such issues.
Asia Pacific is witnessing exponential growth during the forecast period
Throughout the forecast period, the dark fiber market in the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to grow rapidly. Important nations have significant dark fiber network capacity. The factors increasing the demand for dark fiber in the Asia Pacific include the need for faster internet, changing lifestyles, and rising income levels. Large regional data center expansion is directed towards advanced technologies such as Big Data, IoT, and AI. Companies like Alibaba, Facebook, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and even Baidu have developed and are still developing regional data centers. Currently, the market in the Asia Pacific region is predominantly driven by the rapid adoption of mobile services and high-speed broadband by consumers in China and India.
In November 2023, the major technology company Lumen Technologies entered a contract worth approximately US$110 million with the United States Defense Information System Agency (DISA). The contract included operating and maintaining DISA’s fiber backbone, comprising dark fiber, collocation centers, different end-to-end network infrastructures, new fiber constructions, and system upgrades.
In October 2023, gasLINE and Fluxys Belgium signed an agreement for the construction of infrastructure in Western Europe targeting the expansion of the fiber optic network. In addition to Germany and Belgium, the company plans to cover the rest of the countries in a strong dark fiber network.
CenturyLink, Inc.
Zayo Group, LLC.
Colt Technology Services Group Limited
Windstream Intellectual Property Services, LLC.
AT&T
| Report Metric | Details |
|---|---|
| Study Period | 2021 to 2031 |
| Historical Data | 2021 to 2024 |
| Base Year | 2025 |
| Forecast Period | 2026 – 2031 |
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